Automatic adjudication of symptom-based exacerbations in bronchiectasis patients treated with Azithromycin

dc.contributor.authorWheldon, MCen_NZ
dc.contributor.authorVandal, ACen_NZ
dc.contributor.authorBourien, ACen_NZ
dc.contributor.authorJayaram, Len_NZ
dc.contributor.authorKaralus, Nen_NZ
dc.contributor.authorTong, Cen_NZ
dc.contributor.authorHockey, Hen_NZ
dc.contributor.authorWong, Cen_NZ
dc.date.accessioned2015-09-15T03:15:03Z
dc.date.available2015-09-15T03:15:03Z
dc.date.copyright2015-08-12en_NZ
dc.date.issued2015-08-12en_NZ
dc.description.abstractThe EMBRACE multi-center RCT evaluated the effect of azithromycin on frequency of event-based exacerbations (EBEs), lung function and health-related quality of life in adult patients with non-cystic fibrosis bronchiectasis. The treatment was effective in lowering the rate of EBEs relative to placebo (Wong et al., Lancet 2012 380(9842):660--7). An EBE, a binary outcome, is a sustained worsening of condition requiring treatment with antibiotics. Respiratory condition is defined, partly, in terms of daily sputum volume, sputum purulence, and dyspnoea, recorded daily in diaries kept by participants. Quality of life, as measured by the St. George's respiratory questionnaire, was also recorded in the diaries. Here, we use the daily diary entries to build a statistical model to estimate the probability that an EBE is imminent. A definition of symptom-based exacerbation (SBE) is developed by comparing the ROC curves of logistic regression models with EBE as the response and respiratory condition over different time windows as the predictors. Predictive accuracy is estimated using cross-validation. The new SBE definition is validated against self-reported quality of life.en_NZ
dc.identifier.citationJoint Statistical Meetings held at Washington State Convention Center, Seattle, WA, United States of America, 2015-08-09to 2015-08-13en_NZ
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10292/9062
dc.publisherAmerican Statistical Association (ASA)
dc.relation.urihttps://www.amstat.org/meetings/jsm/2015/onlineprogram/AbstractDetails.cfm?abstractid=315070
dc.rightsAuthors retain copyright on individual papers published in the JSM Proceedings. Eligible presenters are not prohibited from publishing in the JSM Proceedings as well as other publications; authors are advised to consult journal exclusivity agreements for restrictions.
dc.rights.accessrightsOpenAccessen_NZ
dc.subjectLogistic regression ; Predictive model ; Bronchiectasis ; Exacerbation ; Respiratory condition
dc.titleAutomatic adjudication of symptom-based exacerbations in bronchiectasis patients treated with Azithromycinen_NZ
dc.typeConference Contribution
pubs.elements-id190287
pubs.organisational-data/AUT
pubs.organisational-data/AUT/Health & Environmental Science
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