A Novel Cooperative AI-Based Fall Risk Prediction Model for Older Adults

Abstract

Older adults make up about 12% of the public sector, primary care, and hospital use and represent a large proportion of the users of healthcare services. Older people are also more vulnerable to serious injury from unexpected falls due to tripping, slipping, or illness. This underscores the immediate necessity of stable and cost-effective e-health technologies in maintaining independent living. Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) offer promising solutions for early fall prediction and continuous health monitoring. This paper introduces a novel cooperative AI model that forecasts the risk of future falls in the elderly based on behavioral and health abnormalities. Two AI models’ predictions are combined to produce accurate predictions: The AI1 model is based on vital signs using Fuzzy Logic, and the AI2 model is based on Activities of Daily Living (ADLs) using a Deep Belief Network (DBN). A meta-model then combines the outputs to generate a total fall risk prediction. The results show 85.71% sensitivity, 100% specificity, and 90.00% prediction accuracy when compared to the Morse Falls Scale (MFS). This emphasizes how deep learning-based cooperative systems can improve well-being for older adults living alone, facilitate more precise fall risk assessment, and improve preventive care.