Understanding the Mechanism of Racial Bias in Predictive Risk Models of Child Welfare

aut.embargoNoen_NZ
aut.filerelease.date2024-07-18
aut.thirdpc.containsNoen_NZ
dc.contributor.advisorRyan, Matthew
dc.contributor.advisorVaithianathan, Rhema
dc.contributor.authorDinh, Huyen
dc.date.accessioned2021-10-14T00:16:44Z
dc.date.available2021-10-14T00:16:44Z
dc.date.copyright2021
dc.date.issued2021
dc.date.updated2021-10-13T21:25:35Z
dc.description.abstractEach year approximately 3.6 million children in the US are referred to Child Protective Services (CPS) – despite these high levels of surveillance, child maltreatment deaths have not fallen. Additionally, many children who are victims of abuse and neglect come to the attention of CPS when it is too late and where early intervention might have helped them. That is where Predictive Risk Modelling (PRM), a type of statistical algorithm that uses linked administrative data to predict the likelihood of adverse events happening in the future, comes into play. The PRM tool typically estimates a child’s risk of abuse and neglect at the time of birth, then its predictions are employed to assist decision-making for connecting families to prevention services before incidents of abuse and neglect occur. However, there are growing concerns about racial disparity around the use of PRM in the child maltreatment context: whether it will reproduce, or even exacerbate, human bias. This study focuses on understanding one of the causes of machine bias, which is measurement error or target variable bias. In particular, the research investigates whether the use of a proxy variable, which is foster care placement in our context, can potentially lead to racial disparity in child maltreatment predictions.en_NZ
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10292/14577
dc.language.isoenen_NZ
dc.publisherAuckland University of Technology
dc.rights.accessrightsOpenAccess
dc.subjectMachine biasen_NZ
dc.subjectRacial biasen_NZ
dc.subjectMachine learningen_NZ
dc.subjectPredictive risk modellingen_NZ
dc.subjectChild welfareen_NZ
dc.subjectProxy variable biasen_NZ
dc.subjectMeasurement error in proxy variableen_NZ
dc.titleUnderstanding the Mechanism of Racial Bias in Predictive Risk Models of Child Welfareen_NZ
dc.typeDissertationen_NZ
thesis.degree.grantorAuckland University of Technology
thesis.degree.levelMasters Dissertations
thesis.degree.nameMaster of Businessen_NZ
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